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Diane Publishing Books
2014 Long-Term Budget Outlook
Douglas W. Elmendorf (ad)
Between 2009 and 2012, the federal government recorded the largest budget deficits relative to the size of the economy since 1946, causing its debt to soar. The total amount of federal debt held by the public is now equivalent to about 74% of the economyńˇ╗s annual output, or gross domestic product (GDP) ńˇţ a higher percentage than at any point in U.S. history except a brief period around World War II and almost twice the percentage at the end of 2008. This report projects that if current laws remained generally unchanged, federal debt held by the public would decline slightly relative to GDP over the next few years. After that, however, growing budget deficits would push debt back to and above its current high level. In 2039, 25 years from now, federal debt held by the public would exceed 100% of GDP. Moreover, debt would be on an upward path relative to the size of the economy, a trend that could not be sustained indefinitely. Figures and tables. This is a print on demand report.
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