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Diane Publishing Books
Analysis of Recent Improvements to Vehicle Safety
Donna Glassbrenner (au)
This report seeks to quantify the improved safety of newer vehicles and its contribution to historically low fatality and injury rates experienced in the U.S. in recent years. The authors develop statistical models of crash avoidance and crashworthiness and apply the results of these models to estimate the likely result of replacing newer vehicles with older vehicles and vice versa, while controlling for human and environmental factors that would otherwise cloud the result. The analysis finds remarkable improvements to vehicle safety, estimating that the likelihood of crashing in 100,000 miles of driving has decreased from 30% in a model year 2000 car to 25% in a model year 2008 one, when both vehicles are driven äóìas newäó. The likelihood of escaping a crash uninjured has improved from 79-82% as a result of improvements between the 2000 and 2008 car fleets. Improvements are also found for light trucks and vans, and for the chances of surviving a crash and avoiding incapacitation. The nationwide impact of these advancements is substantial. Figures. This is a print on demand report.
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