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Diane Publishing Books
Is the Information Technology Revolution Over?
David M. Byrne (au); Stephen D. Oliner (au); Daniel E. Sichel (au)
Given the slowdown in labor productivity growth in the mid-2000s, some have argued that the boost to labor productivity from info. tech. (IT) may have run its course. This study shows that since 2004, IT has continued to make a significant contribution to labor productivity growth in the U.S., though it is no longer providing the boost it did during the productivity resurgence from 1995 to 2004. Second, it presents evidence that semiconductor technology, a key ingredient of the IT revolution, has continued to advance at a rapid pace. Finally, the authors develop projections of growth in trend labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector. The baseline projection of about 1Œ_ percent a year is better than recent history but is still below the long-run average of 2Œ_ percent. However, they see a reasonable prospect that the pace of labor productivity growth could rise back up to or exceed the long-run average. Tables and figures. This is a print on demand report.
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