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Diane Publishing Books
Time-to-Plan Lags for Commercial Construction Projects (CCP)
Jonathan N. Millar (au); Stephen D. Oliner (au); Daniel E. Sichel (au)
The U.S. economy emerged from recession in mid-2009, but CCP activity did not hit bottom until nearly two years later and even now is up only slightly from its low. Although the recent weakness partly reflects the tight credit conditions induced by the global financial crisis, CCP also lagged behind the broader recovery in each of the three previous business cycles. Averaging across those recoveries, CCP reached its low about three quarters after the official business cycle trough. A plausible explanation for this lag is that commercial buildings require substantial planning before construction can begin, which delays the upturn in this sector. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand edition of an important, hard-to-find report.
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