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Diane Publishing Books
Predicting the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan: The Intelligence Community’s Record
Douglas J. MacEachin. Examines in detail what it was in the intelligence performance that led to what U.S. policy officials considered the failure of the intelligence community (IC) to predict the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, especially its size & scope. Reconstructs the intelligence chronology at the time -- what info. was obtained from all sources, when it was obtained, how it was interpreted, & how it was presented to U.S. policy officials. This reconstruction of the intelligence picture is then compared to info. avail. from Soviet archives on the mil. preparations actually undertaken. Compares the U.S. IC’s interpretations of potential Soviet actions with at least the partial info. now available on the deliberations & debates that took place in Moscow’s decision-making process.
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