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Labor Force Projections to 2016: More Workers in Their Golden Years
Mitra Toossi (au)
This report discusses the issues related to aging U.S. population. The labor force will grow more slowly during the next decade; and the older labor force is projected to grow more than 5 times faster than the overall labor force, which will become ever more racially and ethnically diverse. In the second half of the 20th century, labor force growth was especially rapid as the baby-boom generation reached working age and entered the labor market. At the same time, the labor force participation rate of women expanded rapidly. Both trends have run their course. However, due to significant increases in both the participation rate and the share of the older labor force, the growth of the older labor force in the next decade will be much higher than the labor force growth of the other age groups. The civilian labor force is projected to increase by nearly 13 million, reaching 164.2 million in 2016. This 0.8% annual growth rate is lower than the 1.2% annual growth rate registered during the previous 10-year period. In addition, the labor force will continue to age: the 55-years-and-older workforce is expected to grow by 46.7% over the projection period, more than 5 times the growth projected for the aggregate labor force. Tables.
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